As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

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Barbara
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Barbara »

Thanks for your painstaking research to expose this suspicious discrepancy, Maria.
Their attempt at alteration is sleazy !

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Here is the smoothed and manipulated monthly sunspot plot released by SILSO in Belgium.

Notice how the graph from February falsely shows more sunspot numbers, thus a slower decline.

Why is SILSO in cooperation with NOAA and NASA manipulating this data?
Are they trying to trick the sheeple into believing that we are not entering into an ice age?

http://www.sidc.be/sunspots/bulletins/m ... 201702.pdf

the monthly mean sunspot number calculated by Belgium's SILSO for February 2017 is 26.1

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

So far in March 2017, the sun had a string of 15 spotless days which were broken by two new sunspots 2643 and 2644

:Product: 20170326events.txt
:Created: 2017 Mar 27 0327 UT
:Date: 2017 03 26

Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov

#

Missing data: ////

Updated every 5 minutes.

Edited Events for 2017 Mar 26

#
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
#-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9720 + 0229 0234 0241 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.0 1.7E-04 2644
9720 0232 0233 0238 LEA 3 FLA N15E50 SF

9730 + 0320 0328 0335 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B1.3 9.4E-05 2644

9740 1029 1032 1037 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B1.0 3.3E-05 2644

9750 + 1307 1312 1325 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B1.6 1.4E-04 2644

9760 1336 1343 1348 HOL 2 FLA N12E39 SF DSD 2644

9770 1517 1535 1547 SVI 3 FLA N21E43 SF ERU 2644
9770 1523 1527 1529 G13 5 XRA 1-8A B1.3 3.0E-05 2644

9780 + 1554 1558 1605 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B1.8 8.9E-05 2644

9790 1817 1830 1838 HOL 3 FLA N14E40 SF ERU 2644

9800 + 1902 1905 1911 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B1.7 6.3E-05 2644

9810 + 2121 2128 2141 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.0 3.6E-04 2644

9820 + 2300 2317 2326 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B2.0 2.6E-04 2644

9830 + 2349 //// 0008 G15 5 XRA 1-8A C1.3 8.6E-04 2644

9830 + 2352 2358 A2359 LEA 3 FLA N12E33 SF 2644

The most recent C.1.3 flare was recorded at its maximum at 00:00:00 UTC on March 27, 2017
What a way to begin the day! This flare lasted 8 seconds before it dropped to B7.3.

Beginning

2017-03-26 23:49:00 UTC -- B1.9

Maximum

2017-03-27 00:00:00 UTC -- C1.3

End

2017-03-27 00:08:00 UTC -- B7.3

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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Here is a video which shows sunspot 2643 (now decaying) and the spectacular rise of 2644.

http://www.spaceweather.com/images2017/ ... vua5hcr4g2

Here is a summary of today's sunspot activity, which shows Sunspot 2644 being listed as Beta and Sunspot 2643 as having decayed to a plage:
http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/ ... 327SRS.txt

:Product: 0327SRS.txt
:Issued: 2017 Mar 27 0030 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

#
Joint USAF/NOAA Solar Region Summary
SRS Number 86 Issued at 0030Z on 27 Mar 2017
Report compiled from data received at SWO on 26 Mar
I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2644 N12E30 054 0050 Dao 06 10 Beta
IA. H-alpha Plages without Spots. Locations Valid at 26/2400Z Mar
Nmbr Location Lo
2643 N08E02 082

Below is the plot of daily sunspots, which shows the growth of this new sunspot:
(Again, the gray shadow is the range of observations while the red line is the averaged plot.)

With two stations reporting data, one shows only 22 sunspots while the other shows 48, for an average of 35.
Time will tell as more stations report their observations and an averaged estimation can be given.

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

New Sunspot 2645, a Beta, emerging from the Sun's Southern Hemisphere is bursting with C flares and could even discharge an M flare as its latest was a C5.1.

Click the dynamic solar imags below and see the emerging sunspots which are flaring.
https://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/re ... latest.jpg

http://services.swpc.noaa.gov/images/an ... 1490246000

http://sdo.gsfc.nasa.gov/assets/img/lat ... 71_512.jpg

  • NOTE: The images above are dynamic, so they are constantly changing as the sun grows or shows a decline in new sunspots..

Reference: (chart below) http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/products/solar ... nt-reports

:Product: 20170327events.txt
:Created: 2017 Mar 27 1932 UT
:Date: 2017 03 27

Prepared by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center

Please send comments and suggestions to SWPC.Webmaster@noaa.gov

#

Missing data: ////

Updated every 5 minutes.

Edited Events for 2017 Mar 27

#
#Event Begin Max End Obs Q Type Loc/Frq Particulars Reg#
#-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

9940 A0047 //// A1322 HOL 3 DSF N05W50 6

9840 0535 0537 0540 LEA 3 FLA N12E30 SF 2644

9850 + 0606 0612 0621 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B2.6 1.8E-04

9940 A0659 //// A0906 SVI 3 DSF N07W58 12

9860 0918 0923 0929 G13 5 XRA 1-8A B4.7 1.9E-04
9860 0919 0922 0937 SVI 3 FLA S07E67 SF DSD

9870 + 1107 1112 1118 G15 5 XRA 1-8A C3.2 1.2E-03 2645
9870 B1116 U1121 A1142 SVI 2 FLA S07E63 SF

9880 + 1333 1343 1348 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.9 2.7E-04

9890 + 1410 1416 1419 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.6 1.5E-04
9890 1413 1415 1422 SVI 3 FLA S07E63 SF
9890 1414 1415 1418 HOL 3 FLA S11E66 SF

9900 1440 1445 1451 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B2.5 1.3E-04

9910 + 1459 1516 1523 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.8 5.1E-04

9920 1606 1618 1624 SVI 3 FLA N15E21 SF 2644

9930 + 1652 1712 1718 G15 5 XRA 1-8A C1.6 1.2E-03 2645
9930 1707 1718 1723 HOL 3 FLA S11E62 SF 2645

9950 + 1739 1743 1747 G15 5 XRA 1-8A B4.1 1.4E-04 2645
9950 1741 1741 1746 HOL 3 FLA S11E63 SF 2645

9960 1754 1755 1809 HOL 3 FLA S12E61 SF 2645
9960 + 1755 1820 1824 G15 5 XRA 1-8A C5.1 2.6E-03 2645
9960 1813 1819 1834 HOL 3 FLA S12E60 SF DSD 2645
9960 1819 1819 1819 PAL G RBR 410 100 2645

A new sunspot # 2646 has also emerged on the other side of the sun, so it will depart after a few days.

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

This is the latest observations of the three active sunspot regions. Notice that Sunspot #2644, a Beta Gamma, is now geo-centered and could unleash an M-class solar flare. Sunspot #2645, currently a Beta, is rapidly growing and will be geo-centered within two days. Sunspot #2646, an Alpha, will be revolving to the far side of the sun within one to two days.

See this dynamic (regularly updated) solar image, which shows all three sunspots and the one plage (#2643).
http://www.sidc.be/LatestSWData/LatestSWData.php

With the earth's magnetic shield at a low point due to being in a solar minimum, any earth-centered CME, especially from an M-flare, could prove very disruptive.

http://legacy-www.swpc.noaa.gov/ftpdir/ ... 328SRS.txt

Issued: 2017 Mar 28 0030 UTC

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,

Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.

I. Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 27/2400Z
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
2644 N13E17 054 0150 Dai 08 15 Beta-Gamma
2645 S09E59 012 0030 Cso 04 03 Beta
2646 N06W60 131 0020 Hrx 01 01 Alpha

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Since we have had lots of high stream solar winds from the massive Coronal Holes, people who live at both the North and South Poles are experiencing spectacular auroras.

Here is a lovely one from Iceland taken on March 27, 2017 -- This type of aurora is referred to as the Hem of His Garment (referring to Christ).

Click this link to get a larger view: http://spaceweathergallery.com/indiv_up ... opiu05ei91

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