As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

These images are so beautiful. The coronal hole is not as monstrous as it once was. Note: since this image is dynamic, my notes here will be obsolete within a few hours.

Here is another shot as Sunspot AR2615 skates around to the other side of the sun where it might return in 14 days.

Edit as of December 14, 2016: This image now shows Sunspot AR2617 skating around to the other side of the sun.

Click for the latest images: https://sohowww.nascom.nasa.gov/data/re ... latest.jpg

Lord Jesus Christ, have mercy on me a sinner.

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

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See this interesting page at http://www.lmsal.com/solarsoft/latest_events/

Notice that all the recent events have been attributed to Sunspot 2615.

Under GOES, you will see the magnitude of the solar flare.

Event# Event Date - - - - - - - - - - - - - Start - - - Stop - - - Peak GOES Position
10 gev_20161206_1037 2016/12/06 10:37:00 10:43:00 10:39:00 B1.6 S06W38 ( 2615 )
11 gev_20161206_1907 2016/12/06 19:07:00 19:14:00 19:11:00 B2.9 S08W48 ( 2615 )
12 gev_20161207_0114 2016/12/07 01:14:00 01:28:00 01:17:00 B1.6 S07W48 ( 2615 )
13 gev_20161207_0334 2016/12/07 03:34:00 03:54:00 03:45:00 B1.6 S07W49 ( 2615 )
14 gev_20161207_0957 2016/12/07 09:57:00 10:03:00 10:00:00 B1.7 S07W52 ( 2615 )
15 gev_20161207_1119 2016/12/07 11:19:00 11:32:00 11:23:00 B1.7 S08W51 ( 2615 )
16 gev_20161207_1552 2016/12/07 15:52:00 16:00:00 15:56:00 B1.6 S05W55 ( 2615 )
17 gev_20161207_1752 2016/12/07 17:52:00 18:20:00 18:09:00 B3.6 S07W56 ( 2615 )
18 gev_20161208_1814 2016/12/08 18:14:00 19:42:00 19:03:00 B2.2 S06W81 ( 2615 )
19 gev_20161209_0721 2016/12/09 07:21:00 07:27:00 07:25:00 B1.5 S05W77 ( 2615 )
20 gev_20161210_1648 2016/12/10 16:48:00 17:37:00 17:15:00 C4.0 S07W89 ( 2615 )

Surprise: About two hours ago, departing Sunspot 2615 unleashed a C4.0 solar flare at 1715 UTC (9:15 AM PST) today, Saturday, Dec. 10, 2016.

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

With the departure of Sunspot 2615, the sun is once again spotless.

See these pictures of the sun: https://solarmonitor.org/index.php?date=20161210

So far this year, we have had 26 spotless days, which have been occurring about once every18 days. This indicates that we are definitely entering a solar minimum and mini-ice age.

The sunspot number monthly mean for November 2016 was 21.4.

The monthly sunspot number average for December 2016 roughly stands at 34.
However, with no sunspots coming around the bend, several spotless days, which will lower the average, are predicted.

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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

We are approaching a solar minimum close to what we experienced in the year 2006.

Recently NASA and Obama issued a warning and Executive Order that a Carrington type event could occur that could cripple the infrastructure downing our electrical grid and possibly causing thousands or millions of deaths. This is because during a solar minimum, which we are approaching, our magnetic shield is down. With any massive earth-directed X solar flares, our electrical grid is very vulnerable. And even though we have been paying taxes to retrofit our solar grid, many politicians have been stealing those funds and then heading toward Mexico with their stolen loot. Thus, few states have retrofitted the solar grids leaving us very vulnerable.

Check out these dates and events in the year 2006, which was the beginning of the last solar minimum.

Dec. 5 -- http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006
Dec. 6 -- http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006
Dec. 7 -- http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006

NOTE: The ongoing radiation storm has
overwhelmed solar wind sensors onboard
NASA's ACE spacecraft. Solar wind readings
reported above are temporarily unreliable.

Dec. 10 - http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006 -- video of solar tsunami
Dec. 13 - http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006
Dec. 14 - http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006
Dec. 17 - http://www.spaceweather.com/archive.php ... &year=2006

GOODBYE... and thanks for the X-flares.
Sunspot 930 announced itself on Dec. 5th with one of the strongest
flares in years--an X9, followed by an X6 on Dec. 6th, an X3 on
Dec. 13th and an X1 on Dec. 14th. Not bad for solar minimum!

Notice these events from the explosive solar sunspot AR930.

Dec. 5, 2006 -- X-9 solar flare at 1035 UTC --

  • This solar storm (including the ones on Dec. 5 and 6) disabled one of our satellites. Thankfully, this was not a geo-centered solar flare, so no CME struck the earth and our power grid was not affected.

Dec. 6, 2006 -- X-6 solar flare at 1845 UTC - This solar flare was also not geo-centered.
Dec. 7, 2006 -- M-2 solar flare at 1910 UTC
Dec. 13, 2006 - X-3 solar flare at 0240 UTC -- This storm generated a CME
Dec. 14, 2006 - X-1 solar flare at 2215 UTC - CME from the X-3 struck the earth at 1400 UTC.

Attachments
12-05-2006_X-9_AR930 at 1039_ flare_sxi.gif
12-05-2006_X-9_AR930 at 1039_ flare_sxi.gif (102.71 KiB) Viewed 844 times

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Here is a recent image of the sun. This is a dynamic (changing) image, so my comments posted below will be obsolete a couple of hours from now.

At this posting at 2116 UTC (1:16 PM PST) for December 11, 2016:

On the far left side of the sun, there is a flaring sunspot in the Northern sector that is beginning to revolve into sight. The Southern sector reveals that there might be sunspots lurking from view but visible only due to their flaring. We shall see more several days from now as the sun turns.

On the far right side of the sun, AR 2615 is still visible only because it is flaring, but its CMEs will no longer be geo-centered or geo-effective until it makes its return some 13 to 14 days later.

Image

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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

As of 12/12/2016, at 0852 UTC (12:52 PM PST):

The dynamic (continually updated) solar image shown in the above post now shows a new sunspot AR2617 (a Beta in magnitude) located on the far right hand side in the northern hemisphere. It will only last about three days before it vanishes around to the far side of the sun.

Another new sunspot can be seen actively flaring on the far left hand side of the sun. However, it has not yet evolved into sight. It will reveal itself sometime within the next one to two days.

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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Once again, looking at the image two posts above, this is a dynamic (changing) image, so my comments posted below will be obsolete a couple of hours from now.

At 1916 UTC (1116 PM PST) for December 13, 2016:

On the far left side of the sun, there is a flaring sunspot in the Northern hemisphere that has revolved into sight.

On the far right side of the sun, AR 2617 is still visible and actively B-flaring, but its CMEs will no longer be geo-centered or geo-effective if and until it makes its return some 14 days later. According to Belgium and NOAA, this Beta sunspot is stable and unlikely to generate anything but a C-flare.

Lord Jesus Christ, have mercy on me a sinner.

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