As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

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Maria
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Re: As the Sun Turns: Solar Minimums and Maximums

Post by Maria »

Posted below in an attachment is the latest NOAA chart showing the photons hitting the earth in Antarctica and going right through to the Arctic. Follow the red and see the results for yourself. These photon streams from the Sun are strong.

We are currently experiencing a CME from previous Solar M-Class flares which happened a few days ago as it takes several days for photons and other particulate matter to reach the earth from the Sun.

With Sunspot 1944 directly facing earth (geocentered), NOAA has predicted

  • 75 percent chance of M-Class flares
    30 percent chance of X-Class flares

see http://www.spaceweather.com for the latest forecasts.

However, for two days now, this sunspot has been relatively quiet. As of now, it is almost a straight line C1.0 - continual flaring at the C1.0 level.

Attachments
Global. 01-06-2014 1933 UT.png
Global. 01-06-2014 1933 UT.png (35.68 KiB) Viewed 1434 times

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Maria
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Re: Nativity M1

Post by Maria »

Wow.

We just had a Nativity Solar Flare.

An M1 just exploded from the sun.

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Re: Geocentered X1

Post by Maria »

We just had a geocentered X1 flare.

Look at the static plot I just posted below showing not only the X1 flare but also the photon bombardment in red.
If we were not having the CME, photon bombardment, and X-1 class flare, then our earth would show a slightly purple glow at the point where the sun shines on earth, and the rest of the world including Artarctica and Arctic would be displayed in black. The red, yellow, and green zones show intense radiation.

Read the information at http://www.spaceweather.com as they continually update their site.
This site is run by Dr. Tony Phillips, so it is not a fly-by night operation.

Attachments
Global. 01-07-2014 1832 UT.png
Global. 01-07-2014 1832 UT.png (48.17 KiB) Viewed 1435 times
01-07-2014_ X1_goes-xray-flux-6-hour.gif
01-07-2014_ X1_goes-xray-flux-6-hour.gif (9.01 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

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Maria
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Re: Many solar warnings

Post by Maria »

Here are the latest NOAA warnings and alerts:

warnings_01-07-2014 _timeline.png
warnings_01-07-2014 _timeline.png (14.1 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

I have never seen so many alerts.

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Re: Moderate Proton Flux

Post by Maria »

Since we have had more proton flux warnings, the warning level has increased from MINOR to MODERATE PROTON FLUX.

See this static global NOAA plot below and you will notice that the Arctic region is now yellow-orange and no longer the green or blue-green ... a dramatic increase in proton flux bombardment. Normal levels would show black for the Antarctic and Arctic regions.

Global. 01-08-2014 0030 UT.png
Global. 01-08-2014 0030 UT.png (34.23 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

Notice on the right hand panel, that a few hours ago, this global plot only showed 5 MHz at 35 dB on maximum absorption,
but now we have 8MHz at 35 dB.

Furthermore, notice that in the high latitudes (Arctic and Antarctica), it is estimated that they will receive about 28 hours 58 minutes of proton bombardment.

NOTICE: I just checked the dynamic plot, and the Arctic is now colored ORANGE, with an estimated recovery time of 30 hours and 8 minutes at 00:42 UTC.

Attachments
Global. 01-08-2014 0059 UT.png
Global. 01-08-2014 0059 UT.png (34.05 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

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Re: Moderate Protox flux continues

Post by Maria »

Posted below is the latest global static plot showing a MODERATE proton flux.

NOTE: the maximum absorption panel on the far right shows 9MHz at 35 dB.

The recovery time has increased to 30 hours 59 minutes.

Stay tuned as more M- and X-class flares are expected.

Attachments
Global. 01-08-2014 0059 UT.png
Global. 01-08-2014 0059 UT.png (34.05 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

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Re: Moderate Protox flux continues

Post by Maria »

The moderate proton flux is increasing.

Here is the latest static plot I have copied and pasted below.
Now it shows 10 MHz at 35 dB on the right panel showing maximum absorption.
All communications on earth (all high frequency short waves) during the day are being impacted.

Notice that the Arctic is colored an orange-reddish color.

Attachments
Global. 01-08-2014 0136 UT.png
Global. 01-08-2014 0136 UT.png (35.65 KiB) Viewed 1435 times

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