COMMENT: Over the past 24 hours solar activity has been low. No significant
flares have been recorded. There are currently no significant Active
Regions on the solar disk. No Earth directed Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs)
have been detected. The greater than 10MeV proton flux remained at
background levels over the past 24 hours. Solar activity is expected to
remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares
and a low probability of M-class flares.
The solar wind speed fluctuated between 380 to 420 km/s over the past 24
hours. The total magnetic field strength has fluctuated around 5 nT. The Bz
component fluctuated around 0 nT, ranging between -5 and +5 nT. Geomagnetic
conditions ranged between Kp index 1-3 (NOAA) and local K index 1-2
(Dourbes) over the past 24 hours. Geomagnetic conditions are expected to be
TODAY'S ESTIMATED ISN : 000, BASED ON 15 STATIONS.
Note: Even with a spotless sun, and even during a solar minimum, we could experience a sudden and unespected strong flare if a long magnetic filament should rise up from the solar surface and then snap with an explosive force. This is why Belgium makes the comment "Solar activity is expected to remain low over the next 24 hours with a low probability of C-class flares and a low probability of M-class flares." Sudden impulsive solar flares do affect our weather patterns on earth because they heat up the ionosphere. Could man be interfering with space and our weather patterns? Certainly. Think lasers.